AFTER years of being ignored by both major parties, Monash voters can at last expect to see some election promises coming our way. The seat has been a Liberal Party stronghold since 2004 but the ALP came within 2.6% of securing it in 2022.
Fortunately the federal Government isn't as broke as the state one, so there is money in the war chest for some serious commitments.
The seat is anyone’s this time with the conservative vote to be split amongst the Liberal and National parties and two high-profile independent candidates, including current MP Russell Broadbent.
The ALP, Greens, Family First and Pauline Hanson’s One Nation parties have all announced their candidates in the past 10 days. Now all we need is the Prime Minister to fire the starting gun.
The Conservative vote is a three-way split with the National Party taking a rare opportunity to contest the seat of Monash since there is no incumbent Coalition MP.
The big question is whether Mr Broadbent is angry enough with the Liberal Party to direct his preferences to the National Party candidate.
The electorate is certainly in National Party territory with Darren Chester a popular National MP for the adjoining federal seat of Gippsland and the Nationals’ Victorian leader Danny O’Brien holding the state seat of South Gippsland.
Some conservative votes are also likely to flow to independent Deb Leonard. She stood at the 2022 election under the Voices for Monash moniker and secured 11 per cent of the vote.
That’s certain to increase this time. She’s been campaigning full time since July last year and has developed a strong support base with over 100 volunteers the length and breadth of the electorate.
The Greens picked up 9.6% at the 2022 election but that will fall, as they acknowledge themselves. Many of their volunteers have jumped ship to support independent Deb Leonard – and presumably many voters will as well.
“We are happy to see a strong independent candidate putting up a good fight,” a Bass Coast Greens spokesperson said.
Prime Minister Anthony Albanese must give at least 33 days’ notice of the election and it must take place on or before May 17.
THE CANDIDATES